SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Czech Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Portugal | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Turkey | Draw | Georgia |
52.82% ( 2.12) | 22.63% ( -0.22) | 24.56% ( -1.91) |
| Both teams to score 59.16% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% ( -0.76) | 40.79% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.78) | 63.18% ( 0.77) |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( 0.46) | 15.5% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.61% ( 0.86) | 44.39% ( -0.86) |
| Georgia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.01% ( -1.87) | 29.98% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.9% ( -2.31) | 66.1% ( 2.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Turkey | Draw | Georgia |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.43)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.52)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.22)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.73% Total : 52.82% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.22)0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.34) 0-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.28)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.22)0-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.18)Other @ 3.07% Total : 24.56% |
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