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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
GN

Turkey
3 - 1
Georgia

Muldur (25'), Guler (65'), Akturkoglu (90+7')
Bardakci (35'), Calhanoglu (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Georgia had a probability of 24.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Georgia win was 1-2 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
TurkeyDrawGeorgia
52.82% (2.122 2.12) 22.63% (-0.216 -0.22) 24.56% (-1.907 -1.91)
Both teams to score 59.16% (-1.243 -1.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.21% (-0.755 -0.76)40.79% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.82% (-0.778 -0.78)63.18% (0.775 0.77)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.5% (0.464 0.46)15.5% (-0.465 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.61% (0.86 0.86)44.39% (-0.86 -0.86)
Georgia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.01% (-1.866 -1.87)29.98% (1.864 1.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.9% (-2.308 -2.31)66.1% (2.307 2.31)
Score Analysis
    Turkey 52.82%
    Georgia 24.56%
    Draw 22.62%
TurkeyDrawGeorgia
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.142 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.66% (0.428 0.43)
2-0 @ 8.08% (0.52 0.52)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.183 0.18)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.398 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.129 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.22 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 52.82%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.86% (-0.222 -0.22)
0-0 @ 4.65% (0.158 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 6.29% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-1 @ 5.6% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.241 -0.24)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.35% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 24.56%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Poland 2-1 Turkey
Monday, June 10 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-0 Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 6-1 Turkey
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Turkey
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Wales 1-1 Turkey
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Germany 2-3 Turkey
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Montenegro 1-3 Georgia
Sunday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Georgia 0-0 Greece (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, March 21 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 3-1 Georgia
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 2-2 Scotland
Thursday, November 16 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Georgia 4-0 Cyprus
Sunday, October 15 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying


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