Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Finland had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.18%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Finland win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia would win this match.

Result
Finland	Draw	Russia
29.52%	24.44%	46.04%

Both teams to score 57.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.74%

45.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.4%

67.6%

Finland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.36%

28.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.55%

64.44%

Russia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.23%

19.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.18%

51.82%

Score Analysis

Finland 29.52%

Russia 46.04%

Draw 24.44%

Finland	Draw	Russia
2-1 @ 7.18% 1-0 @ 7.08% 2-0 @ 4.43% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-2 @ 2.42% 3-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.52%	1-1 @ 11.47% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 9.3% 0-1 @ 9.18% 0-2 @ 7.44% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-3 @ 4.02% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.04% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3% Total : 46.04%