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UN
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Arena L'viv
FN

Ukraine
1 - 1
Finland

Moraes (80')
Matviyenko (56'), Sobol (81'), Bushchan (88')
Mykolenko (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (89' pen.)
Kamara (87'), Toivio (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Finland had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawFinland
55.02%20.34%24.65%
Both teams to score 67.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.43%29.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.32%50.68%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.97%11.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.65%35.35%
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2%23.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.03%57.97%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 55.02%
    Finland 24.65%
    Draw 20.34%
UkraineDrawFinland
2-1 @ 9.16%
3-1 @ 6.73%
2-0 @ 6.38%
1-0 @ 5.79%
3-2 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.69%
4-1 @ 3.71%
4-2 @ 2.66%
4-0 @ 2.58%
5-1 @ 1.64%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-2 @ 1.17%
5-0 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 55.02%
1-1 @ 8.31%
2-2 @ 6.57%
0-0 @ 2.63%
3-3 @ 2.31%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 5.96%
0-1 @ 3.77%
2-3 @ 3.15%
1-3 @ 2.85%
0-2 @ 2.71%
0-3 @ 1.29%
2-4 @ 1.13%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 24.65%

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