Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Finland had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Finland win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
