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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Schauinsland-Reisen-Arena
IN

Germany
3 - 0
Iceland

Goretzka (3'), Havertz (7'), Gundogan (56')
Havertz (48')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Arnason (56'), Gudmundsson (65')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 68.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Iceland had a probability of 8.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-0 with a probability of 22.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.8%) and 3-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.75%), while for a Iceland win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
GermanyDrawIceland
68.41%23.39%8.2%
Both teams to score 24.99%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.88%68.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.99%86.01%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99%20.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79%52.21%
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
31.24%68.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
5.49%94.51%
Score Analysis
    Germany 68.4%
    Iceland 8.2%
    Draw 23.38%
GermanyDrawIceland
1-0 @ 22.13%
2-0 @ 17.8%
3-0 @ 9.55%
2-1 @ 6.67%
4-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 68.4%
0-0 @ 13.75%
1-1 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 5.15%
1-2 @ 1.55%
0-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 8.2%

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