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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Arena Naţională
GN

Romania
0 - 1
Germany


Popescu (16')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gnabry (17')
Kimmich (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Romania had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Romania win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
RomaniaDrawGermany
23.92%21.9%54.19%
Both teams to score 61.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.99%38.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.72%60.28%
Romania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12%64.89%
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92%14.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.32%41.68%
Score Analysis
    Romania 23.92%
    Germany 54.19%
    Draw 21.9%
RomaniaDrawGermany
2-1 @ 6.13%
1-0 @ 5.05%
2-0 @ 3.13%
3-1 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 9.91%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.08%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 9.71%
0-1 @ 8%
0-2 @ 7.84%
1-3 @ 6.35%
0-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.93%
1-4 @ 3.11%
0-4 @ 2.51%
2-4 @ 1.93%
1-5 @ 1.22%
0-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 54.19%

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