Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for Romania had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Romania win was 2-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.