European Championship | Round of 16

Jun 28, 2021 at 8pm UK

Arena Naţională

France
3 - 3
Switzerland

Switzerland win 5-4 on penalties

Benzema (57', 59'), Pogba (75')
Varane (30'), Coman (88'), Pavard (91')

FT
(aet)

Seferovic (15', 81'), Gavranovic (90')
Elvedi (32'), Rodriguez (61'), Xhaka (76'), Akanji (108')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%).

Result
France	Draw	Switzerland
51.92%	22.97%	25.11%

Both teams to score 58.6%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.18%

41.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.78%

64.22%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.82%

16.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.36%

45.64%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91%

30.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77%

66.23%

Score Analysis

France 51.92%

Switzerland 25.11%

Draw 22.96%

France	Draw	Switzerland
2-1 @ 9.7% 1-0 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 5.89% 3-0 @ 4.9% 3-2 @ 3.54% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.23% 4-2 @ 1.61% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.92%	1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 5.82% 0-0 @ 4.87% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.96%	1-2 @ 6.39% 0-1 @ 5.85% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.11%