Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for France had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
