Portugal
2 - 2
France

Ronaldo (31' pen., 60' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Benzema (45+2' pen., 47')
Lloris (27'), Hernandez (36'), Griezmann (40'), Kimpembe (83')

Build‑up

Didier Deschamps insists there is more to come from France

Cristiano Ronaldo equals international goalscoring record in France draw

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for France had a probability of 37.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (5.34%). The likeliest France win was 1-2 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
Portugal	Draw	France
38.98%	23.46%	37.56%

Both teams to score 63.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.84%

38.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.57%

60.43%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.06%

19.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.91%

52.08%

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.83%

53.16%

Score Analysis

Portugal 38.98%

France 37.56%

Draw 23.45%

Portugal	Draw	France
2-1 @ 8.44% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 5.34% 3-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.83% 4-2 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.15% Total : 38.98%	1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.66% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 8.26% 0-1 @ 6.49% 0-2 @ 5.12% 1-3 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.72% 2-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.56%