Italy
3 - 0
Switzerland

Locatelli (26', 52'), Immobile (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gavranovic (49'), Embolo (79')

Preview

Roberto Mancini: 'We can win Euro 2020'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 17.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.24%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
Italy	Draw	Switzerland
57.39%	25.15%	17.45%

Both teams to score 41.57%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.95%

59.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.49%

79.5%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.39%

20.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.84%

53.16%

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.36%

47.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.04%

82.96%

Score Analysis

Italy 57.38%

Switzerland 17.45%

Draw 25.15%

Italy	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 15.5% 2-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.45% 3-1 @ 4.78% 4-0 @ 2.55% 4-1 @ 1.89% 3-2 @ 1.77% Other @ 3.13% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 3.37% Other @ 0.47% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 7.28% 1-2 @ 4.26% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.45%