Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Hungary had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 18.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.59%) and 1-2 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.15%), while for a Hungary win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.