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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
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Portugal
1 - 0
Azerbaijan

Medvedev (36' og.)
Fernandes (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Madatov (52')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 10.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.13%) and 3-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.96%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 18.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portugal in this match.

Result
PortugalDrawAzerbaijan
67.39%22.45%10.16%
Both teams to score 32.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38%61.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.27%81.73%
Portugal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01%17.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15%48.85%
Azerbaijan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.05%60.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.87%91.13%
Score Analysis
    Portugal 67.38%
    Azerbaijan 10.16%
    Draw 22.45%
PortugalDrawAzerbaijan
1-0 @ 18.8%
2-0 @ 16.13%
3-0 @ 9.22%
2-1 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 4.57%
4-0 @ 3.96%
4-1 @ 1.96%
5-0 @ 1.36%
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 67.38%
0-0 @ 10.96%
1-1 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 1.98%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 5.43%
1-2 @ 2.31%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 10.16%

Read more!
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