Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.
Result | ||
Bulgaria | Draw | Switzerland |
24.02% | 23.55% | 52.44% |
Both teams to score 55.43% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.54% | 45.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.21% | 67.8% |
Bulgaria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.04% | 32.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.45% | 69.55% |
Switzerland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% | 17.32% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.31% | 47.69% |
Score Analysis |
Bulgaria | Draw | Switzerland |
1-0 @ 6.34% 2-1 @ 6.16% 2-0 @ 3.52% 3-1 @ 2.28% 3-2 @ 2% 3-0 @ 1.3% Other @ 2.42% Total : 24.02% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 5.71% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.74% 0-2 @ 8.78% 1-3 @ 5.69% 0-3 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 3.16% 1-4 @ 2.49% 0-4 @ 2.25% 2-4 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.81% Total : 52.44% |
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