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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 5pm UK
Stadion Slavija
SN

Bulgaria
1 - 3
Switzerland

Despodov (46')
Cicinho (69')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Embolo (7'), Seferovic (10'), Zuber (13')
Akanji (54')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 52.44%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 24.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.74%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Switzerland would win this match.

Result
BulgariaDrawSwitzerland
24.02%23.55%52.44%
Both teams to score 55.43%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.54%45.46%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.21%67.8%
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04%32.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45%69.55%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68%17.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31%47.69%
Score Analysis
    Bulgaria 24.02%
    Switzerland 52.44%
    Draw 23.55%
BulgariaDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 6.34%
2-1 @ 6.16%
2-0 @ 3.52%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 24.02%
1-1 @ 11.11%
0-0 @ 5.71%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 9.74%
0-2 @ 8.78%
1-3 @ 5.69%
0-3 @ 5.13%
2-3 @ 3.16%
1-4 @ 2.49%
0-4 @ 2.25%
2-4 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 52.44%

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