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Thursday, November 21
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IN
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
NI

Italy
2 - 0
N. Ireland

Berardi (14'), Immobile (39')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Saville (48'), Thompson (90+4')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.76%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.22%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawNorthern Ireland
59.22%26%14.78%
Both teams to score 35.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.08%64.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.17%83.83%
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.71%22.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.25%55.75%
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.16%54.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.22%87.78%
Score Analysis
    Italy 59.2%
    Northern Ireland 14.78%
    Draw 25.99%
ItalyDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 18.34%
2-0 @ 13.76%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 6.89%
3-1 @ 4.14%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.55%
3-2 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 59.2%
0-0 @ 12.22%
1-1 @ 11.02%
2-2 @ 2.49%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 7.34%
1-2 @ 3.31%
0-2 @ 2.21%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.78%

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