Bulgaria
0 - 2
Italy

Kostadinov (57'), Vutov (58'), Bozhikov (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Belotti (43' pen.), Locatelli (83')
Locatelli (84'), Bernardeschi (89')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Bulgaria and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's World Cup qualifying clash with Bulgaria.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 75.27%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 9.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 2-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Italy in this match.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Italy
9.53%	15.2%	75.27%

Both teams to score 51.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.36%

34.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.41%

56.59%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.3%

44.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.3%

80.69%

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.28%

7.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.5%

27.5%

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 9.53%

Italy 75.27%

Draw 15.2%

Bulgaria	Draw	Italy
2-1 @ 2.87% 1-0 @ 2.78% 2-0 @ 1.12% 3-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.53%	1-1 @ 7.12% 2-2 @ 3.67% 0-0 @ 3.45% Other @ 0.96% Total : 15.2%	0-2 @ 11.32% 0-3 @ 9.67% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 7.78% 0-4 @ 6.19% 1-4 @ 4.99% 0-5 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 3.13% 1-5 @ 2.55% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-6 @ 1.35% 1-6 @ 1.09% 2-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.02% Total : 75.27%