SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Wales had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.13%), while for a Wales win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Italy in this match.
| Result | ||
| Italy | Draw | Wales |
| 60.13% | 25.11% | 14.75% |
| Both teams to score 36.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.59% | 62.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.96% | 82.04% |
| Italy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.12% | 20.88% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.42% | 53.58% |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.65% | 53.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 13.13% | 86.87% |
| Score Analysis |
| Italy | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 17.44% 2-0 @ 13.66% 2-1 @ 8.59% 3-0 @ 7.14% 3-1 @ 4.48% 4-0 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.85% Total : 60.12% | 0-0 @ 11.13% 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 2.7% Other @ 0.31% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7% 1-2 @ 3.44% 0-2 @ 2.2% Other @ 2.11% Total : 14.75% |
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