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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2021 at 5pm UK
Atatürk Olimpiyat Stadı
NN

Turkey
4 - 2
Netherlands

Yilmaz (15', 34' pen., 81'), Calhanoglu (46')
Karaman (32'), Tufan (36'), Yilmaz (52'), Meras (72'), Kabak (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Klaassen (75'), de Jong (76')
Wijnaldum (50')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 25.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
TurkeyDrawNetherlands
25.31%28.72%45.97%
Both teams to score 41.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.36%63.64%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.07%82.92%
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.09%41.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65%78.35%
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.59%63.41%
Score Analysis
    Turkey 25.3%
    Netherlands 45.97%
    Draw 28.71%
TurkeyDrawNetherlands
1-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 5.64%
2-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 1.64%
3-0 @ 1.28%
3-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 25.3%
1-1 @ 12.97%
0-0 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 3.61%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 28.71%
0-1 @ 14.91%
0-2 @ 9.54%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-3 @ 4.07%
1-3 @ 3.54%
2-3 @ 1.54%
0-4 @ 1.3%
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 45.97%

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