Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.97%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Turkey had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.54%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Turkey win it was 1-0 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
