Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Switzerland had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Switzerland win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%).