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Nations League | League A
Oct 10, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
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Spain
1 - 0
Switzerland

Oyarzabal (14')
Merino (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Schar (30'), Freuler (75')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.62%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.36%), while for a Switzerland win it was 1-2 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawSwitzerland
59.42%20.62%19.96%
Both teams to score 59.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.93%37.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.74%59.26%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.79%12.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.12%37.88%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.06%31.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.61%68.39%
Score Analysis
    Spain 59.42%
    Switzerland 19.96%
    Draw 20.62%
SpainDrawSwitzerland
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 8.62%
1-0 @ 8.2%
3-1 @ 6.9%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-2 @ 3.94%
4-1 @ 3.63%
4-0 @ 3.18%
4-2 @ 2.07%
5-1 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 4.14%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 9.36%
2-2 @ 5.62%
0-0 @ 3.9%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 20.62%
1-2 @ 5.34%
0-1 @ 4.45%
0-2 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 2.14%
1-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.96%


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