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European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 23, 2021 at 5pm UK
 
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Slovakia
0 - 5
Spain


Duda (12'), Skriniar (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Dubravka (30' og.), Laporte (45+3'), Sarabia (56'), Torres (67'), Kucka (71' og.)
Busquets (40'), Alba (60')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.36%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Slovakia had a probability of 18.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.64%), while for a Slovakia win it was 1-0 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SlovakiaDrawSpain
18.02%27.62%54.36%
Both teams to score 36.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.16%65.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.53%84.47%
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.99%51.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.66%85.34%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.2%24.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.63%59.37%
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 18.02%
    Spain 54.35%
    Draw 27.61%
SlovakiaDrawSpain
1-0 @ 8.52%
2-1 @ 4%
2-0 @ 2.87%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 18.02%
0-0 @ 12.64%
1-1 @ 11.87%
2-2 @ 2.79%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 17.63%
0-2 @ 12.29%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-3 @ 5.72%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-4 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 54.35%

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