Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 86.69%. A draw had a probability of 9.4% and a win for Ramsgate had a probability of 3.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.41%) and 4-0 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.47%), while for a Ramsgate win it was 0-1 (1.44%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Ramsgate |
86.69% ( -0.12) | 9.39% ( 0.01) | 3.92% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 40.79% ( 1.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.68% ( 0.75) | 29.32% ( -0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.63% ( 0.9) | 50.37% ( -0.9) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.48% ( 0.11) | 4.52% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.49% ( 0.33) | 18.51% ( -0.33) |
Ramsgate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.72% ( 1.13) | 57.28% ( -1.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.8% ( 0.62) | 89.2% ( -0.62) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Ramsgate |
3-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.34) 4-0 @ 9.92% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 5.53% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.1) 6-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.09) 7-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.55% Total : 86.68% | 1-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.41% Total : 9.39% | 0-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.23% Total : 3.92% |
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