Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.06%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
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