Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 47.83%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 28.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
