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National League North | Gameweek 14
Nov 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
 
AT

Gateshead
2 - 1
Alfreton

Scott (75'), Olley (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Southwell (24')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Gateshead and Alfreton Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawAlfreton Town
51.75%23%25.25%
Both teams to score 58.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79%64.21%
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77%16.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.25%45.75%
Alfreton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.02%29.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.91%66.09%
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 51.75%
    Alfreton Town 25.25%
    Draw 22.99%
GatesheadDrawAlfreton Town
2-1 @ 9.69%
1-0 @ 8.85%
2-0 @ 8.04%
3-1 @ 5.87%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 3.54%
4-1 @ 2.67%
4-0 @ 2.22%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 51.75%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 6.42%
0-1 @ 5.86%
0-2 @ 3.53%
1-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 25.25%

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