Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
