SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banbury United win with a probability of 50.83%. A win for Melksham Town had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banbury United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Melksham Town win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Melksham Town |
50.83% ( -0.55) | 23.79% ( 0.08) | 25.38% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 56.09% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( 0.06) | 45.26% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( 0.06) | 67.6% ( -0.06) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0.18) | 17.85% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( -0.32) | 48.61% ( 0.32) |
| Melksham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.28% ( 0.42) | 31.72% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.86% ( 0.48) | 68.14% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Melksham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.62% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.2% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.71% Total : 25.38% |
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