SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Banbury United had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.69%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Banbury United win it was 1-0 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Banbury United | Draw | Tamworth |
11.94% ( 0.06) | 20.21% ( 0.09) | 67.85% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 42.49% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.44% ( -0.24) | 50.56% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.52% ( -0.21) | 72.48% ( 0.21) |
| Banbury United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.37% ( -0.05) | 50.62% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.91% ( -0.03) | 85.08% ( 0.03) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.06% ( -0.12) | 13.94% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.6% ( -0.23) | 41.4% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Banbury United | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 11.94% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.52% Total : 20.21% | 0-1 @ 13.9% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 13.69% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 9% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 6.13% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 67.84% |
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