FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying Replays
Sep 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Kirkby Road
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying Replays clash between Barwell and Buxton.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Barwell had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Barwell win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Buxton in this match.
| Result |
| Barwell | Draw | Buxton |
29.68% ( -0.07) | 24.07% ( 0.13) | 46.25% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.63% ( -0.49) |
| 56.5% ( -0.63) | 43.5% ( 0.62) |
| 34.11% ( -0.62) | 65.89% ( 0.61) |
| 72.36% ( -0.36) | 27.64% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.82% ( -0.47) | 63.18% ( 0.46) |
| 81.02% ( -0.28) | 18.98% ( 0.27) |
