SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Rushall Olympic had a probability of 20.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Rushall Olympic win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Buxton | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
56.01% ( 0.85) | 23.11% ( -0.28) | 20.88% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.93% ( 0.49) | 47.07% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.69% ( 0.45) | 69.31% ( -0.45) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.38% ( 0.48) | 16.62% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.55% ( 0.85) | 46.45% ( -0.85) |
| Rushall Olympic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.22% ( -0.29) | 36.78% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.44% ( -0.29) | 73.57% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Buxton | Draw | Rushall Olympic |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.14% Total : 56.01% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.11% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.72% Total : 20.88% |
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