SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Southport had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Buxton |
31.45% ( -0.05) | 25.2% ( -0.01) | 43.35% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.29% ( 0.04) | 47.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.1% ( 0.04) | 69.9% ( -0.04) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.44% ( -0.01) | 28.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.65% ( -0.01) | 64.35% ( 0.02) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( 0.05) | 21.98% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.71% ( 0.07) | 55.29% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.45% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 43.35% |
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