SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Shields win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a South Shields win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for South Shields in this match.
| Result | ||
| South Shields | Draw | Buxton |
44.15% ( 0.32) | 25.03% ( 0.07) | 30.82% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.02% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% ( -0.49) | 47.2% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% ( -0.46) | 69.43% ( 0.46) |
| South Shields Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( -0.06) | 21.4% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.61% ( -0.09) | 54.39% ( 0.09) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.27% ( -0.51) | 28.73% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.44% ( -0.63) | 64.56% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| South Shields | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 44.15% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.63% Total : 30.82% |
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