SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.98%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
49.98% ( 2.14) | 22.69% ( 0.19) | 27.32% ( -2.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.73% ( -2.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.37% ( -2.58) | 38.63% ( 2.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.07% ( -2.77) | 60.93% ( 2.77) |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.3% ( -0.2) | 15.7% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.23% ( -0.37) | 44.76% ( 0.37) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -2.84) | 26.77% ( 2.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.95% ( -3.9) | 62.05% ( 3.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blackburn Rovers | Draw | Wrexham |
| 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.87)2-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.76)3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.44)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.12)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.34)0-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.49)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.69% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.4)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.39)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.32% |
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