SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 75.52%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 10.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 3-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-2 (2.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
75.52% ( -0.32) | 14.44% ( 0.25) | 10.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.22% ( -1.1) | 28.78% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.3% ( -1.37) | 49.7% ( 1.37) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.65% ( -0.29) | 6.35% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.13% ( -0.83) | 23.87% ( 0.83) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.69) | 39.44% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.87% ( -0.65) | 76.13% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Yeovil Town |
| 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.33)4-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0.09)5-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.06)5-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.09)6-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)Other @ 4.55% Total : 75.52% | 1-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 14.44% | 1-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.43% Total : 10.05% |
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