SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.6%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
53.6% ( 0.32) | 23.2% ( -0.05) | 23.2% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( -0.08) | 44.77% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( -0.08) | 67.13% ( 0.07) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.35% ( 0.08) | 16.65% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.5% ( 0.15) | 46.5% ( -0.15) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( -0.28) | 33.3% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( -0.31) | 69.92% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.6% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.2% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.2% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
