Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 73.53%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Chertsey Town had a probability of 11.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-3 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Chertsey Town win it was 2-1 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.