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FA Cup | Third Round Qualifying Replays
Oct 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
4 - 0
Bishop's Cleeve

Connors (6'), Lewis (22', 59'), Gallimore (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Third Round Qualifying Replays clash between Chesham United and Bishop's Cleeve.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 0-0 Chesham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 64.69%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Bishop's Cleeve had a probability of 15.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for a Bishop's Cleeve win it was 1-2 (4.39%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawBishop's Cleeve
64.69% (-0.99000000000001 -0.99) 19.66% (0.559 0.56) 15.65% (0.423 0.42)
Both teams to score 54.25% (-0.957 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.88% (-1.752 -1.75)40.11% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.51% (-1.834 -1.83)62.48% (1.824 1.82)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (-0.774 -0.77)11.68% (0.764 0.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.24% (-1.676 -1.68)36.76% (1.666 1.67)
Bishop's Cleeve Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.43% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)38.57% (0.535 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.68% (-0.522 -0.52)75.31% (0.51300000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 64.69%
    Bishop's Cleeve 15.65%
    Draw 19.66%
Chesham UnitedDrawBishop's Cleeve
2-0 @ 10.38% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.9% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.478 0.48)
3-0 @ 7.43% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 7.08% (-0.187 -0.19)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.174 -0.17)
4-1 @ 3.8% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.135 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.71% (-0.131 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.63% (-0.15 -0.15)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 64.69%
1-1 @ 9.22% (0.327 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.5% (0.353 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.093 0.09)
0-1 @ 4.29% (0.279 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.05% (0.105 0.11)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 15.65%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chesham 0-1 Bath City
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 0-0 Chesham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Maidstone 2-2 Chesham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cray Valley 0-2 Chesham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesham 3-2 Aveley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Chesham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 0-0 Chesham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 3-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Laverstock & Ford 1-2 Bishop's Cleeve
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 1-1 Laverstock & Ford
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 4-0 Lydney Town
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Highworth Town 0-1 Bishop's Cleeve
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup


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