SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Aveley |
46.04% ( 0.01) | 24.66% ( -0) | 29.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.38% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.66% ( 0.01) | 46.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.37% ( 0.01) | 68.63% ( -0.01) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 0.01) | 20.21% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.47% ( 0.01) | 52.52% ( -0.02) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% ( -0) | 29.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( -0) | 65.32% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesham United | Draw | Aveley |
| 1-0 @ 9.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.58% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.04% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.84% Total : 46.04% | 1-1 @ 11.62% 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.66% | 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.3% |
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