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National League South | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
0 - 1
Bath City


Cawley (7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mohammad Fahid Al Haj Ibrahim (49')
Wiles-Richards (83')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Bath City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawBath City
51.5% (0.528 0.53) 24.28% (-0.136 -0.14) 24.23% (-0.391 -0.39)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.62% (0.228 0.23)48.38% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.48% (0.208 0.21)70.52% (-0.208 -0.21)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.22% (0.297 0.3)18.78% (-0.295 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.81% (0.493 0.49)50.19% (-0.492 -0.49)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.63% (-0.212 -0.21)34.37% (0.213 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.92% (-0.226 -0.23)71.08% (0.22699999999999 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 51.49%
    Bath City 24.23%
    Draw 24.27%
Chesham UnitedDrawBath City
1-0 @ 10.79%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.03% (0.084 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 2.1% (0.058 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 51.49%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.46% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.27%
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.16% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.68% (-0.078 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.83% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 24.23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bishop's Cleeve 0-0 Chesham
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Maidstone 2-2 Chesham
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cray Valley 0-2 Chesham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesham 3-2 Aveley
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Chesham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-3 Chesham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Enfield Town
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-1 Merthyr Town
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-0 Bath City
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Truro City
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 4-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South


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