Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 51.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Bath City had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Bath City win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chesham United | Draw | Bath City |
51.5% ( 0.53) | 24.28% ( -0.14) | 24.23% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.62% ( 0.23) | 48.38% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.48% ( 0.21) | 70.52% ( -0.21) |
Chesham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% ( 0.3) | 18.78% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.81% ( 0.49) | 50.19% ( -0.49) |
Bath City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.63% ( -0.21) | 34.37% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.92% ( -0.23) | 71.08% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Chesham United | Draw | Bath City |
1-0 @ 10.79% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.21% Total : 51.49% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.68% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.23% |
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