Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Cray Valley Paper Mills had a probability of 37.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Cray Valley Paper Mills win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
Result | ||
Cray Valley Paper Mills | Draw | Chesham United |
37.79% ( 0.02) | 24.09% ( -0) | 38.13% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 61.15% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.72% ( 0.01) | 41.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% ( 0.01) | 63.68% ( -0.01) |
Cray Valley Paper Mills Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.12% ( 0.01) | 21.88% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.86% ( 0.02) | 55.14% ( -0.02) |
Chesham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.29% ( -0.01) | 21.71% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.12% ( -0.01) | 54.88% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cray Valley Paper Mills | Draw | Chesham United |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 11.02% 2-2 @ 6.4% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.13% |
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