SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 42.81%. A win for Salisbury had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Salisbury win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salisbury | Draw | Chesham United |
31.85% ( -0.31) | 25.34% ( 0.28) | 42.81% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.44% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.83% ( -1.32) | 48.17% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.67% ( -1.22) | 70.33% ( 1.22) |
| Salisbury Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.47% ( -0.85) | 28.53% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.69% ( -1.08) | 64.31% ( 1.09) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( -0.55) | 22.43% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.04% ( -0.83) | 55.96% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Salisbury | Draw | Chesham United |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.67% Total : 31.85% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.81% |
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