SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
37.43% ( -0.04) | 27.17% ( 0.19) | 35.39% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.92% ( -0.76) | 55.08% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.66% ( -0.63) | 76.33% ( 0.62) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.56% ( -0.39) | 28.43% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.81% ( -0.49) | 64.19% ( 0.48) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.33% ( -0.47) | 29.66% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.28% ( -0.57) | 65.71% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.39% |
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