SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
41.36% ( -0.24) | 27.49% ( 0.04) | 31.15% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.44% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.96% ( -0.12) | 57.04% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.07% ( -0.09) | 77.93% ( 0.09) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( -0.19) | 27.14% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( -0.24) | 62.53% ( 0.24) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% ( 0.08) | 33.51% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( 0.09) | 70.15% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.97% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.15% |
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