SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Radcliffe had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Radcliffe win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chester FC | Draw | Radcliffe |
38.09% ( 5.49) | 26.11% ( 1.13) | 35.8% ( -6.63) |
| Both teams to score 53.83% ( -3.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.33% ( -4.38) | 50.67% ( 4.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.43% ( -3.99) | 72.57% ( 3.99) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.03% ( 1.15) | 25.97% ( -1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 1.52) | 60.99% ( -1.53) |
| Radcliffe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( -5.47) | 27.28% ( 5.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.28% ( -7.7) | 62.72% ( 7.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chester FC | Draw | Radcliffe |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% ( 1.83) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.7)2-0 @ 6.44% ( 1.4)3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.7)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.26)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.09% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.65) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 1.17)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.41)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.1% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.89)0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.88)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -1.05)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.89)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.61)1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.6)Other @ 3% Total : 35.8% |
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