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FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
The Coventry Building Society Arena
WA

Coventry
3 - 4
Wrexham

Sheaf (36'), Gyokeres (69'), Palmer (76')
Bidwell (83'), Rose (90+8')
Panzo (57')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Dalby (12'), Lee (18'), O'Connor (45+6'), Mullin (58' pen.)
Dalby (16'), Mullin (45+8'), McAlinden (88'), Young (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League

We said: Coventry City 3-1 Wrexham

With both managers likely to hand some of their squad players rare game time, we expect to seen an entertaining affair at Coventry on Saturday evening. However, the hosts should have too much quality for their opponents in the end, even if their place in the English footballing pyramid is arguably a false one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 40.03%. A win for Wrexham had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Wrexham win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Coventry CityDrawWrexham
40.03% (0.0010000000000048 0) 26.07%33.9%
Both teams to score 53.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)50.75%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (0.0019999999999989 0)72.65%
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.04% (0.0010000000000048 0)24.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)59.61%
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (0.0010000000000048 0)28.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75%64.25% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 40.03%
    Wrexham 33.9%
    Draw 26.07%
Coventry CityDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 9.87%
2-1 @ 8.6%
2-0 @ 6.85%
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 40.03%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 7.11%
2-2 @ 5.4%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.93%
1-2 @ 7.78%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.26%
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.26%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 33.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Cardiff
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 3-1 Coventry
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 West Brom
Wednesday, December 21 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-3 Swansea
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, December 10 at 2pm in Championship
Last Game: Solihull 1-2 Wrexham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 5-0 Solihull
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 4-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, November 26 at 3.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 2-0 Aldershot
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League


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