SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 57.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for York City had a probability of 19.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a York City win it was 1-0 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Wrexham |
19.06% ( -0.25) | 23.44% ( -0) | 57.5% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( -0.33) | 50.75% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.35% ( -0.29) | 72.65% ( 0.3) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.17% ( -0.47) | 40.83% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.59% ( -0.43) | 77.4% ( 0.43) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.58% ( -0.03) | 17.42% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.15% ( -0.05) | 47.85% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Wrexham |
| 1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.06% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.84% Total : 23.44% | 0-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.86% ( 0.13)1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.33% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.77% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.5% |
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