SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 55.95%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 23.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 3-1 (6.79%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
55.95% ( -0.59) | 20.48% ( 0.23) | 23.57% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 65.87% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.5% ( -0.72) | 31.5% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.03% ( -0.86) | 52.97% ( 0.86) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.6% ( -0.39) | 11.4% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.85% ( -0.85) | 36.15% ( 0.85) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.14) | 25.66% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.44% ( -0.19) | 60.56% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.95% | 1-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.44% Total : 20.48% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.57% |
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