SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coventry City | Draw | Swansea City |
37.67% ( -0.35) | 26.61% ( 0) | 35.72% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 52.17% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.23% ( 0.01) | 52.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( 0.01) | 74.4% ( -0) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.2) | 27.19% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.39% ( -0.26) | 62.6% ( 0.26) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.22) | 28.34% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.92% ( 0.27) | 64.07% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coventry City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.58% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.58% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.72% |
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