SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.78%. A draw had a probability of 12.1% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 7.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (2.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Wrexham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
80.78% ( 0.31) | 12.1% ( -0.22) | 7.11% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 52.37% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.57% ( 0.81) | 27.43% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.97% ( 1.01) | 48.03% ( -1.02) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.83% ( 0.21) | 5.16% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.53% ( 0.62) | 20.47% ( -0.62) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.22% ( 0.41) | 44.78% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.24% ( 0.33) | 80.75% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.07)6-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.06)7-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.04)Other @ 4.28% Total : 80.78% | 1-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.01% Total : 12.1% | 1-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.04% Total : 7.11% |
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