SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Stockport County |
39.19% ( 0.38) | 24.93% ( 0.15) | 35.87% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 57.91% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.76) | 45.43% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.24% ( -0.73) | 67.76% ( 0.73) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.15) | 23.01% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -0.21) | 56.82% ( 0.21) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.22% ( -0.65) | 24.78% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.65% ( -0.91) | 59.35% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.18)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.87% |
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