Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.6%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 9.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.39%) and 3-0 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
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