SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 65.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.37%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
14.37% ( 0.24) | 19.87% ( 0.38) | 65.75% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% ( -1.19) | 43.76% ( 1.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% ( -1.17) | 66.15% ( 1.17) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.45% ( -0.4) | 42.55% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.09% ( -0.35) | 78.9% ( 0.34) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.53% ( -0.52) | 12.47% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.57% ( -1.1) | 38.43% ( 1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.53% Total : 14.37% | 1-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.87% | 0-2 @ 11.49% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.35)1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0)0-3 @ 7.98% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 6.82% ( -0.14)0-4 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.09)0-5 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.48% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.25% Total : 65.74% |
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