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FA Cup | Second Round Qualifying
Sep 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
6 - 0
Barnoldswick Town

Ditch (3'), Mols (14', 65'), Buckley-Ricketts (53'), Afuye (86'), Darby (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the FA Cup Second Round Qualifying clash between Curzon Ashton and Barnoldswick Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: King's Lynn 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 1-0 Lancaster
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 77.86%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Barnoldswick Town had a probability of 8.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.49%), while for a Barnoldswick Town win it was 1-2 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawBarnoldswick Town
77.86% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 13.89% (0.014000000000001 0.01) 8.24% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.38% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.45% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)32.55% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.79% (-0.064 -0.06)54.2% (0.061 0.06)
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.26% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)6.73% (0.017 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.1% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)24.9% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Barnoldswick Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.02% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)45.98% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.29% (-0.02 -0.02)81.7% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 77.85%
    Barnoldswick Town 8.24%
    Draw 13.89%
Curzon AshtonDrawBarnoldswick Town
2-0 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.35% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.87% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
4-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.66% (-0.004 -0)
6-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 77.85%
1-1 @ 6.49% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 13.89%
1-2 @ 2.52% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 8.24%

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Form Guide
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Rushall Olympic 1-2 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-0 Darlington
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 4-0 Curzon Ashton
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 1-0 Lancaster
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lancaster 0-0 Barnoldswick Town
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Northwich Victoria 2-4 Barnoldswick Town
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 1-1 Northwich Victoria
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighouse Town 2-2 Barnoldswick Town (3-5 pen.)
Wednesday, August 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barnoldswick Town 0-0 Brighouse Town
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in FA Cup


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